Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In the last six months, Jessica Pegula has demonstrated superior performance on second serves, winning 44.38% of her points, while Marta Kostyuk trails at 39.03%.
• When it comes to return games, Kostyuk has a slight edge over Pegula, winning 50.69% of her opponents' second serve points compared to Pegula's 49.73%.
• Considering first serve returns, Kostyuk exceeds Pegula slightly, with 30.81% compared to 28.54% for Pegula.
• Which player is more resilient under pressure? When saving breakpoints, Pegula narrowly leads by saving 53.37% against Kostyuk's 52.88%.
• Over the past year, Pegula has a better win rate, achieving victory in 67.65% of her matches, while Kostyuk has won 60.42%.
• Analyzing favorite surfaces, Kostyuk excels on clay courts with a 66% win rate, whereas Pegula's optimum performance is on hard courts, also at 66%.
• In direct encounters, Pegula leads with three wins out of four matches against Kostyuk, clearly indicating a historic advantage.
• The average ranking of Pegula's opponents is higher at 51.4 compared to Kostyuk's 64.6, challenging Pegula with tougher competition.
• When encounters extend to deciding sets, Kostyuk has the upper hand, winning 63% of such sets, whereas Pegula's rate is 52%.

Editorial Prediction (October 1, 2025, UTC):

As Jessica Pegula and Marta Kostyuk prepare for their upcoming match, the statistics provide valuable insights into their recent performances and historical matchups. Pegula's superior win rate on second serves indicates a notable strength, potentially giving her the upper hand during rallies.

Marta Kostyuk's slight advantage in return games suggests she can effectively counter Pegula's serve, making this an intriguing battle. Still, Pegula's record of winning crucial points under pressure could prove decisive in tight situations.

The head-to-head record heavily favors Pegula, who has consistently outperformed Kostyuk in their previous encounters, which gives her an inherent psychological edge. While Kostyuk's ability to thrive in deciding sets adds an element of uncertainty, Pegula's overall stronger track record and experience against higher-ranked opponents make her the likely favorite.

Considering these factors, Jessica Pegula is projected to emerge victorious in the upcoming match against Marta Kostyuk.